Article

FANTASY SURFER presented by Boost Mobile 2007 Mid-Year Review

| posted on July 22, 2010



5 events completed. 5 events to go.

So far, 315 heats have been surfed in the 2007 Foster’s ASP World Championship Tour. And exactly how close we are to crowning a world champion remains to be seen. Mick Fanning has done just about everything he can to put the clamps on his first world title, but he has some strong competition chasing him down.

And with each passing event, Fantasy Surfer gets closer to crowning its winner of a boat trip for 2 from Pure Vacations. With only your best 8 scores counting towards the grand prize, it’s still anyone’s game. Last year’s overall winner, Kevin Preister, made a late charge to hold off the competition and walk away with the victory. Will someone else be able to pull off that same feat, or will it be one of the current users now on the Top 25 leaderboard?

We’ll have to wait on that one, but for now, check out Fantasy Surfer’s 2007 Mid-Year Review and get prepared for the second half of the 2007 WCT – this is where it starts to get interesting.

1 – Mick Fanning

Best 2007 result: Winner Quiksilver Pro Gold Coast

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 133

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $10,000,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $12,250,000

Did you know?: The last time Mick Fanning failed to make the Quarterfinals of a WCT event was at the 2006 Rip Curl Search WCT in Mexico – a streak of 11 straight events.

2007 World Title Chances: Favorite

The Dirt: So far this year Mick has had an unbelievable run. His results so far have been 1st, 3rd, 2nd, 3rd, & 3rd. In comparison, he is only 24 points off the incredible pace that Kelly Slater set in 2006 for his dominating 8th world title.

For anyone to catch up to him, Mick is going to have to have some seriously bad results in the remaining 5 events. Considering that he finished in the Quarterfinals or higher in each of the remaining events last year, chances are the title is now Mick’s to lose. With 2 throwaway results left in his arsenal, (only the best 8 of 10 results count toward year-end rankings), Fanning now has the luxury of being ahead of the pack.

2 – Taj Burrow

Best 2007 result: Winner Rip Curl Pro Bells and Billabong Pro J-Bay.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 121

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $9,500,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $10,750,000

Did you know?: Of his 6 career WCT victories, 3 have come in Brazil.

2007 World Title Chances: Strong

The Dirt: Burrow has had a breakthrough year in 2007. So far. Wins at Bells and J-Bay will go a long way towards keeping him in the world title race until the end of the year. But as good as Burrow’s start of the year has been, he must remained focused for the remaining 5 events. In 2006, early round losses at Mundaka, Brazil and Pipeline doomed Taj’s year.

Will Burrow be able to continue his run of good results? With his improved fitness and competitive focus, nothing seems out of reach. Now he just has to make up for the poor results he had at Tahiti and Chile. No easy task when you realize he has to better the scores of Fanning, Irons and Slater in order to do so.

3 – Andy Irons

Best 2007 result: Winner Rip Curl Search WCT in Chile.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 104

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $11,500,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $11,750,000

Did you know?: Irons has won at least 1 WCT event every year since 2002.

2007 World Title Chances: Always a contender.

The Dirt: NEVER count out Andy Irons. Just when you think he’s in an insurmountable hole, he almost always claws his way back out. In the past 5 years on the WCT tour, Irons has not finished below 2nd place. 3 world titles and 2 second place finishes mean that he’s going to be in this race until the end.

4 – Kelly Slater

Best 2007 result: 2nd place at Billabong Pro J-Bay.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 117

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $12,500,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $11,500,000

Did you know?: With his loss in the Billabong Pro J-Bay final, Slater has now lost 4 consecutive finals – the longest such streak of his career

2007 World Title Chances: A possibility. Two things must happen: 1 – Fanning, Burrow and Irons must all have some seriously bad results. 2 – Slater must win a few events. Slater winning events isn’t a problem, it’s the other guys losing that’s the sticking point.

The Dirt: 4th place overall would be a disappointing spot for only one surfer in the world at this point in time – Kelly Slater. With his “average” results so far this year, Slater has stayed near the top of the heap, but on the fringe of the world title hunt.

5 – Joel Parkinson

Best 2007 result: Equal 3rd at Billabong Pro Tahiti.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 116

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $9,000,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $10,500,000

Did you know?: Joel Parkinson and Mick Fanning are the only 2 WCT surfers to win all of their Round 1 heats in 2007 through the first 5 events.

2007 World Title Chances: Without a few wins, Parko is out of the running.

The Dirt: Consistency has been Parko’s trademark over the past few years. Stringing together top 10 finishes and a win or two per year, Joel has established himself as a perennial title contender. Unfortunately, he hasn’t been consistent enough. He will need to put together a year that doesn’t include any 4th round losses before the world title will be his.

6 – Damien Hobgood

Best 2007 result: Winner Billabong Pro Tahiti.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 96

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $9,000,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $9,750,000

Did you know?: With his victory in the 2007 Billabong Pro Tahiti, Hobgood has won an event on the WCT every year since 2004.

2007 World Title Chances: Mathmatically, he’s still alive, but Top 5 would be more likely.

The Dirt: Hobgood excels at smaller waves such as Brazil, and lefthanders like Tahiti. With that in mind, he could be a decent pickup later in the year for Mundaka and Brazil. The real question will be how quickly he recovers from the knee injury that has bothered him for the past 2 months. Until he’s fully recovered, he’s a bit of a gamble – a fact that was made obvious with his early round exit at J-Bay.

7 – Bede Durbidge

Best 2007 result: 2nd place at Quiksilver Pro Gold Coast.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 92

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $7,000,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $7,750,000

Did you know?: Durbidge has not been owned by more than 20 percent of Fantasy Surfer owners at any time during 2007.

2007 World Title Chances: Close, but not happening this year. Top 5 is a realistic possibility.

The Dirt: Durbidge has seemingly broken through the ceiling that he was struggling with over the past few years on tour. In years past, he would take out a top seed early in the event, and then stumble before he reached the quarters. This year he has kicked it up a notch and his goal of the Top 5 is well within his reach.

8 – Daniel Wills

Best 2007 result: Equal 5th at Billabong Pro J-Bay.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 100

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $6,500,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $7,750,000

Did you know?: One of the more consistent surfers on tour, Wills has only one 33rd place finish in his past 10 events.

2007 World Title Chances: Out of the running after the midway point.

The Dirt: For the past 10 years, Wills has been the model of consistency. He’s good for one or two quarterfinals and semifinals per year, and will typically finish in the top 16 every year. This is great for your Fantasy Surfer team, since Wills is usually good for at least a 3rd round finish in every event but Pipeline.

9 – Dean Morrison

Best 2007 result: Equal 3rd at Billabong Pro J-Bay.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 97

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $8,000,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $8,500,000

2007 World Title Chances: None. Top 10 is a possibility.

The Dirt: For years, we’ve heard plenty about the Coolangata trio of Fanning, Parkinson and Morrison. And except for a few select events, Dean has been cast into the shadow of his friends Mick and Joel. But finally, he seems to be putting consistent scores on the board and advancing far enough through an event to earn some decent points. He’s a decent investment for your Fantasy Surfer teams at most events, but seems to perform a bit better when the waves are over 3 foot.

10 – Travis Logie

Best 2007 result: Equal 9th at Gold Coast, Bells, Chile & Tahiti.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 98

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $5,500,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $6,500,000

Did you know?: Logie is 0-3 against Burrow, Slater and Damien Hobgood in 2007.

The Dirt: Logie has never placed higher than 20th on the WCT and if he continues his annual fall in the ratings towards the end of the year, he should end up right around that same spot this year. Logie typically does well in smaller surf, so look for him to perform well at venues such as Brazil.

11 – Michael Campbell

Best 2007 result: Equal 5th at Quiksilver Pro Gold Coast.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 99

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $4,000,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $5,250,000

Did you know?: Since his Quarterfinal finish at this year’s Quiksilver Pro Gold Coast, Campbell has not advanced past the 4th Round of any event.

The Dirt: After a few years away from the World Championship Tour, Campbell has re-emerged as a serious world-beater on this years tour. He could conceivably finish within the Top 16, but he will need to make a few quarterfinals or higher in order to secure that position.

=12 – Bobby Martinez

Best 2007 result: Equal 5th at Rip Curl Search WCT in Chile.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 92

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $9,500,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $8,750,000

Did you know?: At the mid-year point in 2006, Martinez was ranked number 3 – 9 places higher than he is currently ranked.

The Dirt: Despite the whining heard about Bobby Martinez “under-performing” this year, he’s actually been quite impressive in the majority of the heats that he’s surfed. Showing a bit more maturity and experience, Martinez has battled back to work his way back to the top 1/3 of the ratings. He’s a solid pickup for the European leg of the tour, but his weakness still seems to be the 4 man heats at Pipeline.

=12 – Jeremy Flores

Best 2007 result: Equal 5th at Billabong Pro Tahiti.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 91

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $4,000,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $5,250,000

Did you know?: Flores’ 1st Round loss at the Billabong Pro J-Bay was his first Round 1 loss of 2007.

The Dirt: For a rookie to be averaging higher than 90 Fantasy Surfer points per event is pretty impressive. Even more impressive is the list of surfers that Flores has beaten in the first 5 events of the year; Taj Burrow, Kelly Slater, Cory Lopez, & Damien Hobgood. If he can continue his runoff impressive victories, he can stay near the top of the ratings. Almost a must have selection for Fantasy Surfer teams headed into France (his home country).

14 – Kai Otton

Best 2007 result: Equal 3rd at Billabong Pro Tahiti.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 68

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $3,000,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $4,500,000

Did you know?: Otten has no more throw-away events – he currently has two 33rd place finishes so far this year.

The Dirt: Where the hell did this kid come from? Otten seemingly came out of nowhere to rocket past some of the biggest names on the WCT tour so far this year. After 5 years on the Qualifying Series, Otten finally broke through last year and doesn’t appear to be going away anytime soon. He seems to perform well in smaller rights and bigger lefts, so pick him carefully. A great pickup if you get him at the right price.

15 – Taylor Knox

Best 2007 result: Equal 9th at Gold Coast, Chile and J-Bay.

2007 Avg Fantasy Surfer Points Per Event: 74

2007 Starting Fantasy Surfer Value: $8,000,000

Current Fantasy Surfer Value: $7,250,000

Did you know?: Since his 2nd place finish at the 2006 Rip Curl Search WCT in Mexico, Knox has not made it past Round 4 in any WCT event.

The Dirt: Last year at this time, we were all applauding Knox for his finals appearance at the Rip Curl Search WCT in Mexico. Since then, anyone with him on their Fantasy Surfer team has been longing for more. Of all the spots on tour that Knox could conceivably have a stellar result, Trestles sits at the top of the list. Knox lives closer to Trestles than any other WCT member, and surfs there quite often. Will that translate into a outpouring of points if you select him for your Fantasy Surfer team? After all his years on tour, the odds are about 50/50.